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The Brief, a weekly letter on the labour market

One long read and five signals, every week, free from IPMERC Research. Starting with the Netherlands.

Most labour market news is written to be read on the day it appears. A vacancy count moves, a sector complains, an index ticks up, and a quarter later nobody can say what any of it meant. The Brief is written the other way around.

The name works twice. A brief is what a recruiter takes from a client before a search starts, and 'brief' is the Dutch word for letter. Every week IPMERC Research sends one long read and five signals, built on primary statistics and written so the figures hold up when somebody looks them up. The letter is free, and it starts now.

Free, every week. You confirm your address by email, and you can leave the list from any issue.

What arrives

An issue has two parts. The first is one long read: a single question about the labour market, taken far enough to answer it. Which occupations are short of people, and which ones only feel short. What ageing does to a sector that trains its own staff. Why two industries under the same vacancy pressure hire at completely different speeds. The answer comes from a primary source, with the reference period attached, so you can pull it up yourself.

The second part is five signals. Five developments from the week, each with two or three sentences on what it means. These are rarely the biggest headlines. A pension deal, a training subsidy, a plant closure, and a change in how an agency reports its numbers: the kind of item that turns into a trend line later.

One question decides what goes in: does this still matter in a year. That test throws out most of what gets published in a week, which is the point.

The Netherlands first, then the rest of Europe

Coverage today is the Netherlands only. Worth saying plainly, because a letter that talks about Europe while quietly covering one country is a letter you cannot lean on.

The Dutch market earns the head start. Tightness there is structural rather than cyclical: the workforce is ageing, replacement demand keeps climbing as older cohorts retire, and healthcare, construction, education, and the technical trades each run into a different wall. It is also among the best documented labour markets on the continent. CBS, UWV, and the sector programs publish enough detail to say something specific about an occupation instead of something vague about a country.

Europe follows market by market, on the harmonised Eurostat basis IPMERC Research already uses. Harmonisation is the whole point: a vacancy rate means the same thing in the Netherlands as in Germany or Spain, so the same method ports to the next market without quietly changing definitions along the way. A market joins the letter when the data carries that standard, not on a date announced in advance.

Where the numbers come from

Primary sources. Eurostat for anything that has to travel across a border, CBS for Dutch detail, UWV for what happens inside a sector or a region. Press coverage is used to find a release worth reading, never as the source for a figure.

Every figure carries its reference period, because a vacancy rate without a quarter attached is a rumour. Where a series has a break, the letter says so. Where a country reports nothing, the letter says that too. And nothing gets rounded up: if the honest reading is a range, you get the range.

A letter that admits what the data cannot show survives being checked. That matters more than sounding certain, because these figures are meant to be repeated out loud to people who can go and verify them.

Built on the library

The Brief is not written from a blank page each week. IPMERC Research already publishes papers on the European labour market, Futures scores that project where occupations are heading, a salary index for the Dutch market, and a glossary that pins down what each term means.

The letter draws on all of it and feeds back into it. A question that turns out to need more room than one issue becomes a paper. A figure that keeps coming up gets its own entry. Nothing in the letter arrives without somewhere to go and check it.

Who reads it

Two people, mostly.

The first runs a recruitment agency and needs a figure on a client call. Not "the market is tight", which every client has heard and nobody believes any more. Something specific: what the shortage looks like in that client's occupation, in that region, this quarter, with a source the client can check afterwards. A number that survives being questioned is worth more than a number that sounds impressive.

The second is hiring and cannot tell whether the trouble is normal. A vacancy that stays open for months can mean the market, or the sector, or the job description, the salary band, and the interview process. The Brief is written so you can tell which, because the answer changes what you do next.

Free letter, full platform

The letter is free. Every week, no tier, no half of an issue held back for paying readers.

A membership is a different thing. You sign in to the platform and get the research library in full, the training programs that take a consultant from first call to close, the scored exercises, and the tools your team works in every day. The letter tells you what the market is doing. The platform is where your team does something about it.

See what a membership includes, or create an account.

Start with one issue

The Brief starts now. One long read, five signals, every week, and a source under every figure. Read one issue and decide whether it earns a place in your week.

Free, every week. You confirm your address by email, and you can leave the list from any issue.